Update proj12 proj13 summaries

scholar-outputs/2023/project12.md

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 Team "Protoceratops_Jitterbug_Vivace" and their mentor during a meeting
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-Crop production in Colombia and Indonesia is primarily carried out by small, family-owned farms, contributing significantly to job creation in rural areas. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is pivotal in influencing rainfall, flooding, drought, and heat waves in both countries. These ENSO-related weather anomalies substantially affect crop production and farmers' livelihoods. Coffee production plays a key role in the agricultural economy of both the countries and droughts and ENSO events might impact coffee production in future.
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-This research aims to delve into the varied impacts of El Niño events on temperature and rainfall patterns, thereby affecting vegetation and coffee production in Colombia and Indonesia.
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-To assess the ENSO events, ONI and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) were used to identify the El Niño events and the regional drought. SPI was calculated from ERA 5 precipitation data for 3, 6, 12 and 24 months rolling period. There is a notable correlation between temperature raising and observed drought periods in Indonesia and Colombia (SPI less than -1) with the positive anomalies in the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI). This knowledge will serve as a valuable foundation for devising effective strategies to mitigate the adverse effects stemming from climate change. 
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-With the aim of identifying the possible El Niño events in the future, firstly the comparison of different CMIP6 models sea surface temperature data with the historical data.
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+In Colombia's fields, small farms take flight,<br>
+El Niño and La Niña, nature's delicate might.<br>
+Coffee's dance with warmth, a surprising song,<br>
+La Niña's rain, in rhythm, along.<br>
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+Figures whisper, correlations unfold,<br>
+ONI and SPI, a story told.<br>
+In the CESM's gaze, the future unfurls,<br>
+A climatic waltz, in changing swirls.<br>
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+El Niño, once foe, now a coffee's friend,<br>
+La Niña's embrace, droughts amend.<br>
+Yet, in recent years, a shift in the air,<br>
+El Niño's rise, a tale to bear.<br>
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+In this agro-poetic refrain, lessons unfurl,<br>
+A dance with nature, a resilient swirl.<br>
 
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 The full micropublication will be shared here at the end of March 2024.

scholar-outputs/2023/project13.md

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 Mentor: **Oz Kira**
 
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+Mato Grosso, a vital part of the Amazonian Rainforest, has experienced a considerable human impact, primarily driven by agricultural and livestock expansion. The region, which once covered almost 50% with forests, has now dwindled to approximately 35%, largely due to deforestation linked to economic growth. Our study, utilizing MODIS satellite and economic data, revealed concerning trends, including an 8% reduction in forested areas and a simultaneous 6% increase in soy-planted areas and grasslands between 2001 and 2021. Correlation analyses exposed negative associations between forested areas and both environmental (Net Primary Productivity - NPP, Land Surface Temperature - LST, albedo) and socioeconomic (Gross Domestic Product - GDP, population) variables, emphasizing a direct link between economic development and deforestation. Notably, the strong correlation between 'soy-planted area' and GDP/population highlights the significant role of agricultural expansion, often tied to deforestation, in regional economic growth. Additionally, the connection between the rise in LST and significant correlations between NPP and economic variables underscores the intricate relationship between land-use changes, environmental factors, and socio-economic development in Mato Grosso. This study can be useful for decision-makers, fostering awareness and guiding the creation of a mindful approach to reduce expansive agriculture, ultimately contributing to conservation efforts in the Amazonia region.
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