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Add a local TODO list for technical details of changes
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TODO | ||
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This is a place for planned or desirable technical changes. | ||
Higher-level plans are discussed on | ||
the [Unjournal coda.io project management website](https://coda.io/d/Project-Management-UJ_dOyXJoZ6imx/Projects_subw9#Projects_tuA9I/r30&view=full). | ||
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[ ] Render the quarto docs remotely via github actions. | ||
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# Evaluating publication predictions | ||
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[ ] Find out how to check publication automatically (ish?) | ||
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- get DOI; match it against databases; fall back to title and authors? | ||
- map publications to "tiers" | ||
[ ] Build functions to create predictions from pairs of indiv. predictions | ||
- simple average | ||
- weighted by interval width | ||
- extremized average | ||
- for CIs, a Bayesian CI combining both? | ||
- see Hanea et al. | ||
"Mathematically aggregating experts’ predictions of possible futures" | ||
- see aggreCATS package for some examples, but don't use it, unmaintained | ||
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[ ] Test predictions against reality: | ||
- both for our "aggregate predictions", and for preds from individual raters | ||
- MSE or MAE for mean/medians | ||
- coverage for confidence intervals | ||
[ ] Make a .qmd document or Shiny app reporting results overall, or for | ||
specific subcategories of evaluations. |
@hughjonesd that could be very helpful, yeah