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Statistical methods

Thomas Nipen edited this page Jun 19, 2020 · 18 revisions

Gridpp supports a number of basic statistical methods for gridded forecasts.

Quantile mapping

Quantile mapping uses the relationship between historical forecasts and a reference dataset. A curve is created by sorting the forecast and reference points.

gridpp.quantile_mapping(input, fcst, ref, policy)

where input is either a scalar, a 1D vector, or a 2D vector, fcst is a 1D vector of forecast samples, ref is a 1D vector of reference samples, and policy is an extrapolation policcy specifying how values are extrapolated outside the domain of fcst. The following extrapolation policies are supported: gridpp.OneToOne, a one-to-one line is used outside the domain); gridpp.MeanSlope, the slope between the two extreme points on the curve is used to extrapolate; gridpp.NearstSlope, the slope between the two lowest points is used below the curve (similarly for the two highest points); and gridpp.Zero, a slope of 0 outside the curve.

Here is an example:

input = 275
fcst = [250, 270, 290, 310]
ref = [240, 275, 290, 305]
gridpp.quantile_mapping(input, fcst, ref, gridpp.ExtrapolationOneToOne)
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