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Floodnet

A deep neural network modeling framework to predict water levels based on regional observation data and hydrodynamic models - dealing with the spatial-temporal, cyclic characteristics and sparsity.

Introduction

Floodnet is a deep neural network architecture that captures all the available predictive potentials within a region to make the best water level prediction. Such predictive potentials for a typical inhabited coastal area are the harmonic tide and the past water levels recorded by one or multiple observation stations. For some areas where operational forecasting physical ocean models exist, the model results are also taken as predictive potentials. Non-water level types of data - wind, air pressure, temperature and salinity for examples – are not explored in this study due to their various levels of availability in different regions; we assume that their predictive values are at least partially embedded in the water levels provided by recent observations and hydrodynamic models.

In specific, Floodnet assimilates the predictive values from

  1. harmonic tide,
  2. historical water level and surge at a single observation station,
  3. historical water level and surge at multiple observation stations and their spatial relationships,
  4. hindcast and forecast water level computed by hydrodynamic models at the observation stations and residues from the observations , and
  5. hindcast and forecast water level surfaces computed by hydrodynamic models.

Designated Inverse Dropout (DID) method

A technique that handles missing data in neural network input.

Data

NYHOPS scraping toolkit
Resampled hourly data

Observation stations map

Available and selected observation stations

Single station predictability preliminary results

Prediction random examples:

Single station

Single station

Compare the predictibility of different feature combinations:

Single station

Single station

Single station

Single station

Compare the predictibility of different look-back periods:

Single station

Single station

Single station

Single station

Compare the accuracy of different output lengths:

Single station

Single station

Single station

Single station

Multi-station predictability preliminary results

Prediction random examples:

Multi-station

Multi-station

Compare the single and multi-station predictions averaged over the 30 stations:

Multi-station

Multi-station

Spatial interpolation

Least Distance Maps

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Interpolation comparison

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

Spatial interpolation

About

Neural nets that predict flood levels

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