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jsingle/Win-Expectancy-Calculator
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WE Calculator - written by Jordan Singleton This is a tool for calculating the Win Expectancy in a baseball game. It provides a GUI for visualizing the Win Expectancy and for users to manipulate the state of the game. The app is written in Python 3, and uses the Tkinter package to implement the GUI with Tlc/Tk. Win Expectancy is a sabermetric measure of the odds that a team has to win the baseball game. It is calculated based on the score, the number of outs, the inning, and the baserunners. It also factors in constants representing the run environment (expected runs per inning) and the home team's expected winning percentage vs the visiting team. Win Expectancy is calculated based on historical data for the number of runs that are expected to scored in an inning given outs, runners on, and run environment. This uses the concept of baseruns. The total Win Expectancy is then calculated using a recursive formula, with an iteration occuring per half inning remaining, and the base case occuring at inning 9. The calculations in this app are based on the WinExp spreadsheet at ftp://ftp.baseballgraphs.com/wpa/ This app consists of four python scripts: WinExp.py - Implements Win Expectancy calculation Game.py - Class for keeping track of the game state and performing plays on it Gui.py - Defines the GUI of the app Challenge.py - calls methods from other files to run the app The app also requires baseruns_coefficients.csv, which is a file containing some constants necessary for the calculations. To use the app, run "python Challenge.py" from the directory where the .py and the .csv files are located.
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