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Instructions:

  1. The scripts expect a data/ folder in the same directory that contains the JSON files provided by Metaculus
  2. The plots comparing aggregation algorithms can be reproduced by running parametric_study.py
  3. The table showing a correlation between frequency and magnitude of updates and accuracy can be reproduced by running atanasov.py
  4. The plot correlating accuracy with description length can be reproduced by running nlp-exploration.py on the nlp-exploration branch

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Repo for the Metaculus Million Predictions Hackathon

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