chess-eval-stats

Attempting to answer the following question:

Is a +/- X engine advantage within the first 10 moves a good predictor of who will win the game in past masters games?

Starting with X = 0.7.

10elorange_2300masters_since2000_20halfmoves.pgn: Filtered games from Caissabase 2022_01_08 with the following criteria:

• Only titled players
• Greater than 2400 ELO
• Lower than 10 ELO difference
• At least 10 moves
• Between January 1st 2000 and February 8th 2022

Requirements:

• ts-node, run npm install
• Python 3, run pip install chess, pip install pymongo and pip install numpy
• pgn-extract.exe (add to PATH). Download here.
• Stockfish engine. Download here. Add executable to PATH as STOCKFISH