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avehtari committed Oct 23, 2023
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Expand Up @@ -195,8 +195,8 @@ the book chapters relaed to the next lecture and assignment.
| 3\. Multidimensional posterior | [BDA3 Chapter 3](BDA3_notes.html#ch3) | [2023 Lecture 3.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=802abb82-07a2-4b4e-a16b-b0820089d994),<br> [2023 Lecture 3.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=c070e17c-ce4c-4a98-801c-b08200a5b22f)<br>[Slides 3](slides/BDA_lecture_3.pdf) | [Assignment 3](assignments/assignment3.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week3")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week3")` |
| 4\. Monte Carlo | [BDA3 Chapter 10](BDA3_notes.html#ch10) | [2023 Lecture 4.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=d0a08786-0796-4e93-90a3-b08800b99601),<br> [2023 Lecture 4.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=ad034e33-56da-4255-9f3a-b08800cbe37e), <br>[Slides 4](slides/BDA_lecture_4.pdf) | [Assignment 4](assignments/assignment4.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week4")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week4")` |
| 5\. Markov chain Monte Carlo | [BDA3 Chapter 11](BDA3_notes.html#ch11) | [2023 Lecture 5.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=279b3da6-efe6-44f7-b382-b08f00dd234b), <br> [2023 Lecture 5.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=ff3d41ef-b1cc-42b3-8544-b08f00ca25b2), <br>[Slides 5](slides/BDA_lecture_5.pdf) | [Assignment 5](assignments/assignment5.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week5")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week5")` |
| 6\. Stan, HMC, PPL | [BDA3 Chapter 12](BDA3_notes.html#ch12) + [extra material on Stan](index.html#stan) | [2022 Lecture 6.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=4cc8f763-ca6a-4f2f-b19c-af2a00ba8eb4), <br>[2022 Lecture 6.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=f4eb4269-bb83-49aa-9243-af2a00ccb873), <br>[Slides 6](slides/BDA_lecture_6.pdf) | [Assignment 6](assignments/assignment6.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week6")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week6")` |
| 7\. Hierarchical models and exchangeability | [BDA3 Chapter 5](BDA3_notes.html#ch5) | [2022 Lecture 7.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=6cf678f1-395d-4c91-87c7-af3800da0ff4), <br> [2022 Lecture 7.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=2320d64f-1e40-45b0-9b17-af3800c9f435),<br> [2022 Project info](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=8f0158f9-6abf-4ada-bdb7-af3800d139de), <br>[Slides 7](slides/BDA_lecture_7.pdf) | [Assignment 7](assignments/assignment7.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week8")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week8")` |
| 6\. Stan, HMC, PPL | [BDA3 Chapter 12](BDA3_notes.html#ch12) + [extra material on Stan](index.html#stan) | [2023 Lecture 6.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=80a36d3a-d67c-4534-a7ef-b09600b9f338), <br>[2023 Lecture 6.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=65bf5b2b-0a4e-4cae-ba26-b09600cb6222), <br>[Slides 6](slides/BDA_lecture_6.pdf) | [Assignment 6](assignments/assignment6.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week6")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week6")` |
| 7\. Hierarchical models and exchangeability | [BDA3 Chapter 5](BDA3_notes.html#ch5) | [2023 Lecture 7.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=c1014690-1133-4232-ad0f-b0a400ba228d), <br> [2023 Lecture 7.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=196c3a91-3ba2-4469-ab15-b0a400ca6074),<br> [2022 Project info](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=8f0158f9-6abf-4ada-bdb7-af3800d139de), <br>[Slides 7](slides/BDA_lecture_7.pdf) | [Assignment 7](assignments/assignment7.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week8")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week8")` |
| 8\. Model checking & cross-validation | [BDA3 Chapter 6](BDA3_notes.html#ch6), [BDA3 Chapter 7](BDA3_notes.html#ch7), [Visualization in Bayesian workflow](https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12378), [Practical Bayesian cross-validation](https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.04544) | [2022 Lecture 8.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=2c578385-aedc-4657-bc10-af3f00ca3485), <br> [2022 Lecture 8.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=f99824f2-2028-43d3-b6c5-af3f00dcafdb), <br>[Slides 8](slides/BDA_lecture_8.pdf) | Start project work | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week9")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week9")` |
| 9\. Model comparison and selection | [BDA3 Chapter 7 (not 7.2 and 7.3)](BDA3_notes.html#ch7), <br> [Practical Bayesian cross-validation](https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.04544) | [2022 Lecture 9.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a67324b3-dd4d-48f0-8873-af4600cb8fd0), <br> [2022 Lecture 9.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=0649acb6-d782-4667-86db-af4600da8d2f), <br>[Slides 9](slides/BDA_lecture_9.pdf) | [Assignment 8](assignments/assignment8.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week10")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week10")` |
| 10\. Decision analysis | [BDA3 Chapter 9](BDA3_notes.html#ch9) | [2022 Lecture 10.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a22aab9c-953c-4ea8-b6ec-af4d00c9fe58), <br>[Slides 10](slides/BDA_lecture_10.pdf) | [Assignment 9](assignments/assignment9.html) | `r sdate("Lecture date", "Week11")` | `r sdate("Assignment closes (23:59)", "Week11")` |
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -401,8 +401,8 @@ material](index.html#stan)
`r paste(sday("Lecture date", "Week6"), sdate("Lecture date", "Week6"))`
14:15-16, hall T1, CS building**
- [Slides 6](slides/BDA_lecture_6.pdf)
- Videos: [2022 Lecture 6.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=4cc8f763-ca6a-4f2f-b19c-af2a00ba8eb4) on HMC, NUTS, dynamic HMC and HMC specific convergence diagnostics,
and [2022 Lecture 6.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=f4eb4269-bb83-49aa-9243-af2a00ccb873) on probabilistic programming and Stan. BDA3 Ch 12 + [extra
- Videos: [2022 Lecture 6.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=80a36d3a-d67c-4534-a7ef-b09600b9f338) on HMC, NUTS, dynamic HMC and HMC specific convergence diagnostics,
and [2022 Lecture 6.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=65bf5b2b-0a4e-4cae-ba26-b09600cb6222) on probabilistic programming and Stan. BDA3 Ch 12 + [extra
material](#stan).
- Optional: [Stan Extra introduction recorded
2020](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=f4b61f2a-4a94-43f7-828c-ac460144f64f)
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -446,7 +446,7 @@ Hierarchical models and exchangeability. BDA3 Ch 5.
- see [reading instructions for Chapter 5](BDA3_notes.html#ch5)
- **Lecture `r paste(sday("Lecture date", "Week8"), sdate("Lecture date", "Week8"))` 14:15-16, hall T2, CS building**
- [Slides 7](slides/BDA_lecture_7.pdf)
- Videos: [2022 Lecture 7.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=6cf678f1-395d-4c91-87c7-af3800da0ff4) on hierarchical models, [2022 Lecture 7.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=2320d64f-1e40-45b0-9b17-af3800c9f435) on exchangeability, and [2022 Project info](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=8f0158f9-6abf-4ada-bdb7-af3800d139de).
- Videos: [2023 Lecture 7.1](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=c1014690-1133-4232-ad0f-b0a400ba228d) on hierarchical models, [2023 Lecture 7.2](https://aalto.cloud.panopto.eu/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=196c3a91-3ba2-4469-ab15-b0a400ca6074) on exchangeability
- Read [the additional comments for Chapter 5](BDA3_notes.html#ch5)
- Check [R demos](demos.html#BDA_R_demos) or [Python
demos](demos.html#BDA_Python_demos) for Chapter 5
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