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Cholera Transmission Behavior

Jonathan Bloedow edited this page Oct 24, 2024 · 8 revisions

Contact Only

Even though Cholera is importantly and necessarily environmental, we want to explore contact-only transmission behavior first

Single Node

TBD

10 Nodes Varying by Population

TBD

Multi-Node, NOT Spatial

25 independent nodes, varying by Initial Population and Birth Rate

S, I and Pop

image

SI Orbitals

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Observations

  • As population increases, we're more likely to reach endemicity
  • As birth rate increases, we're get more susceptibles more often, we should be more likely to reach endemicity with smaller initial populations?
  • For any scenario in which endemicity is achieved, the curve and prevalence (as a fraction) are the same even as population and birth rates increase (??)
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