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Covid19 forecasting with prophet

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Covid19 Forecasting with Prophet

This project aims to forecast covid19 daily cases in India using the past cases trends.

Model used for forecasting is Prophet, which is a time series based model by Facebook.

Dataset

Dataset used can be dowloaded from here

Go to other sheets and check for 'case_time_series' sheet name.

Setup instructions

Prerequisites

Experience with jupyter notebook or google colab.

Knowledge of following is recomended:

pandas

matplotlib

fbprophet

Steps followed

Step 1. Data Preprocessing.

Step 2. Data visualization of previous data available.

Step 3. Data preparation for Forecasting.

Step 4. Forecasting for coming months.

Conclusion

  • Number of recovered cases are high as compared to deceased cases, which shows that recovery rate for covid19 cases in India is very good.
  • India might see a third wave but not as sharp and hard as the second one.
  • To avoid third wave we all should follow all necessary precautions and keep safe.

Author

Ayushi Shrivastava