diff --git a/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-main.yaml b/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-main.yaml
index f83dd2d3a2df..2588200916a0 100644
--- a/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-main.yaml
+++ b/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-main.yaml
@@ -56,8 +56,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     optional: false
     decorate: true
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"
@@ -126,8 +125,7 @@ presubmits:
     decorate: true
     decoration_config:
       timeout: 4h
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"
@@ -216,7 +214,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     always_run: false
     optional: true
-    run_if_changed: 'test\/e2e|templates\/test|scripts\/ci-conformance.sh'
+    run_if_changed: 'test\/e2e|templates\/test|scripts\/ci-conformance.sh|Makefile'
     decorate: true
     decoration_config:
       timeout: 4h
@@ -250,7 +248,7 @@ presubmits:
     always_run: false
     optional: true
     decorate: true
-    run_if_changed: 'test\/e2e|templates\/test|scripts\/ci-conformance.sh'
+    run_if_changed: 'test\/e2e|templates\/test|scripts\/ci-conformance.sh|Makefile'
     decoration_config:
       timeout: 4h
     max_concurrency: 5
@@ -289,7 +287,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     always_run: false
     optional: true
-    run_if_changed: 'test\/e2e|templates\/test|scripts\/ci-conformance.sh'
+    run_if_changed: 'test\/e2e|templates\/test|scripts\/ci-conformance.sh|Makefile'
     decorate: true
     decoration_config:
       timeout: 4h
@@ -479,8 +477,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     optional: false
     decorate: true
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"
diff --git a/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-release-v1beta1.yaml b/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-release-v1beta1.yaml
index f57fd17742a5..f99179cad680 100644
--- a/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-release-v1beta1.yaml
+++ b/config/jobs/kubernetes-sigs/cluster-api-provider-azure/cluster-api-provider-azure-presubmits-release-v1beta1.yaml
@@ -36,8 +36,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     optional: false
     decorate: true
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"
@@ -69,8 +68,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     optional: false
     decorate: true
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"
@@ -137,8 +135,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     optional: true
     decorate: true
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"
@@ -172,8 +169,7 @@ presubmits:
     decorate: true
     decoration_config:
       timeout: 4h
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"
@@ -313,8 +309,7 @@ presubmits:
     path_alias: "sigs.k8s.io/cluster-api-provider-azure"
     optional: false
     decorate: true
-    # please see: https://play.golang.org/p/JJSVylVPd53 for more insights
-    run_if_changed: (^[^d].*$)|(^d$)|(^.[^o].*$)|(^do$)|(^..[^c].*$)|(^doc$)|(^...[^s].*$)|(^docs$)|(^....[^/].*$)|(^[^d][^o][^c][^s]/.*$)
+    skip_if_only_changed: "^docs/|^\\.github/|\\.md$|^(\\.codespellignore|LICENSE|OWNERS|OWNERS_ALIASES|PROJECT|SECURITY_CONTACTS|Tiltfile|metadata\\.yaml|netlify\\.toml|tilt-provider\\.json)$"
     max_concurrency: 5
     labels:
       preset-dind-enabled: "true"