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gdpdata.txt is a text file with 209 entries with 10 columns. The observations are quarterly from 1960:1 – 2012:1

All are U.S. macro variables. In column order, they are

  1. Year
  2. quarter
  3. GDP (level)
  4. GDP Growth Rate
  5. 10-Year Treasury
  6. 3-month Treasury Rate
  7. AAA bond rate
  8. BAA bond rate
  9. Housing starts
  10. Building Permits

Rates.txt is a text file with 630 entries with 11 columns. The observations are monthly from 1960:1 – 2012:6

All are U.S. macro variables. In column order, they are

  1. Year
  2. Month
  3. Unemployment Rate
  4. 10-year Treasury Rate
  5. 3-month Treasury Rate
  6. AAA bond rate
  7. BAA bond rate
  8. Housing starts
  9. Building Permits
  10. Industrial production index
  11. CPI (less food and energy)

Unemployment Rate: Bureau of Labor Statistics http://data.bls.gov/pdq/querytool.jsp?survey=ln Both sexes/all races/all origins/16 years and over/all education levels/all marital status, unemployment rate/seasonally adjusted/monthly

Interest Rates: Federal Reserve System https://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Choose.aspx?rel=H15 10-year: TCMNOM/Y10 (Market yield on U.S. Treasury securities at 10-year constant maturity) 3-month: TB/M3 (3-month Treasury bill secondary market rate discount basis) AAA: (MOODY'S YIELD ON SEASONED CORPORATE BONDS - ALL INDUSTRIES, AAA) BAA: (MOODY'S YIELD ON SEASONED CORPORATE BONDS - ALL INDUSTRIES, BAA)

Housing Starts: U.S. Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/xls/starts_cust.xls New privately owned housing units started/seasonally adjusted annual rate

Building Permits: U.S. Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/construction/xls/permits_cust.xls in permit-iss New privately owned housing units authorized by building permits/seasonally adjusted annual rate

Industrial Production index: Federal Reserve System http://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Choose.aspx?rel=G17

CPI: Bureau of Labor Statistics http://www.bls.gov/cpi/#data U.S. City average, seasonally adjusted, all items less food and energy: CUUR0000SA0L1E