-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 0
/
Zim_parameters.sas
108 lines (78 loc) · 4.49 KB
/
Zim_parameters.sas
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
/***************************************************************************/
****************** ZIMBABWE SPECIFIC PARAMETERS ******************
/***************************************************************************/
* country; country='Zimbabwe';
* caldate1; caldate1 = 1984; *core: 1989;
* caldate_never_dot; caldate_never_dot=1984; *core: 1989;
* POPULATION GROWTH AND DEMOGRAPHY;
* inc_cat; inc_cat = 4 ;
* INTRODUCTION OF HIV;
* startyr; startyr = 1991 + 0.25;
* HIV TESTING;
* date_start_testing; date_start_testing = 2005 ;
* test_targeting; %sample(test_targeting, 1 1.1 1.3, 0.7 0.2 0.1);*Vale - 20220105;
* an_lin_incr_test; %sample(an_lin_incr_test,
0.005 0.01 0.015,
0.6 0.3 0.1);*Vale - 20220105;
* date_test_rate_plateau; date_test_rate_plateau = 2019 ;
* fold_rate_decr_test_future;%sample_uniform(fold_rate_decr_test_future, 0.25 0.33 0.5 0.75);
* rate_anc_inc; %sample_uniform(rate_anc_inc, 0.025 0.03 0.035);
* prob_test_2ndtrim; %sample_uniform(prob_test_2ndtrim, 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.0 0.95 1.00);
* prob_test_postdel; %sample_uniform(prob_test_postdel, 0.25 0.5 0.75);
* NATURAL PROGRESSION AND RISK OF HIV RELATED CONDITIONS;
*Vale - 20211026: all the changes in the section "NATURAL PROGRESSION...." are taken from SA;
* fold_change_in_risk_base_rate;
%sample_uniform(fold_change_in_risk_base_rate, 0.85 1.0); *Vale - 20211123;
* it is 0.85 rather than 1 in south africa parameter sets, and 1 in Malawi as there is no evidence
that this lower rate holds in malawi ;
* fold_decr_hivdeath; fold_decr_hivdeath = 0.15 ; * this value was used in south africa in order to have model reflect observed death rates;
* fx; fx = 0.8 ; *Vale - 20211123, as in SA, 0.85 in Malawi;
* this value was used in south africa in order to have model reflect observed death rates;
* LINKAGE, RETENTION, MONITORING, LOSS, RETURN, INTERRUPTION OF ART AND RESTARTING, ART;
rate_ch_art_init_str_9 = 0.1 ;
* adh_pattern; %sample(adh_pattern,
1 2 3 4 5 ,
0.05 0.55 0.20 0.10 0.10 );
* rate_int_choice; %sample_uniform(rate_int_choice, 0.0020 0.0030 0.0040);*Vale - 20220105;
* SEX WORKERS;
* Based on calibraton to AMETHIST and Sisters data;
* base_rate_sw; %sample_uniform(base_rate_sw, 0.0010 0.0015 0.0020);
* base_rate_stop_sexwork ; %sample(base_rate_stop_sexwork, 0.005 0.010 0.015, 0.40 0.40 0.20);
* rr_sw_age_1519; rr_sw_age_1519 = 0.60;
* rr_sw_age_3549; rr_sw_age_3549 = 0.50;
* age_effect_stop_sexwork; age_effect_stop_sexwork=1.5;*22% over 40 in AMETHIST, core modelled estimates are 10%;
* sw_trans_matrix; %sample(sw_trans_matrix, 1 2 3, 0.10 0.80 0.10);
* sw_art_disadv; %sample(sw_art_disadv, 0 1, 0.10 0.90);
if sw_art_disadv=1 then do;
%sample_uniform(sw_higher_int, 2 5 10 20);
%sample_uniform(rel_sw_lower_adh, 0.8 0.9);
%sample_uniform(sw_higher_prob_loss_at_diag, 2 5 10);
end;
* rate_engage_sw_program; %sample_uniform(rate_engage_sw_program, 0.10 0.20 0.30);
* rate_disengage_sw_program; %sample_uniform(rate_disengage_sw_program, 0.01 0.03);
* date_sw_prog_intro; date_sw_prog_intro=2010;
* sw_program; %sample(sw_program, 0 1, 0.2 0.8);sw_program=1;*Discuss;
if sw_program = 1 then do;
%sample_uniform(rate_engage_sw_program, 0.10 0.20);
%sample_uniform(rate_disengage_sw_program, 0.02 0.05);
end;
* CIRCUMCISION;
* circ_inc_rate; %sample(circ_inc_rate, 0.0001 0.001 0.002,
0.25 0.5 0.25);
* prob_birth_circ; %sample(prob_birth_circ,
0.05 0.1 0.15,
0.25 0.5 0.25); *Vale - 20211026;
*abs_decr_birth_circ; %sample(abs_decr_birth_circ,
0 0.002 0.004,
0.20 0.20 0.60 );
* rel_incr_circ_post_2013; %sample(rel_incr_circ_post_2013,
2 3 4,
0.25 0.5 0.25); *Vale - 20230823;
* rel_incr_circ_post_2023; %sample(rel_incr_circ_post_2023,
2 3 4,
0.25 0.5 0.25); *Vale - 20231010;
***Too many people on PrEP;
* rate_test_startprep_any; %sample_uniform(rate_test_startprep_any, 0.10 0.15 0.30);
* prob_prep_oral_b; %sample_uniform(prob_prep_oral_b, 0.05 0.1);
* pref_prep_oral_beta_s1; %sample_uniform(pref_prep_oral_beta_s1, 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1) ;
* rate_choose_stop_prep_oral; %sample_uniform(rate_choose_stop_prep_oral, 0.10 0.20 0.30);