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Task 4 - Prediction Help Center

The goal of this exercise is to build and evaluate your first predictive model. You will use the n-gram and backoff models you built in previous tasks to build and evaluate your predictive model. The goal is to make the model efficient and accurate.

Tasks to accomplish

  1. Build a predictive model based on the previous data modeling steps - you may combine the models in any way you think is appropriate.
  2. Evaluate the model for efficiency and accuracy - use timing software to evaluate the computational complexity of your model. Evaluate the model accuracy using different metrics like perplexity, accuracy at the first word, second word, and third word.

Questions to consider

  1. How does the model perform for different choices of the parameters and size of the model?
  2. How much does the model slow down for the performance you gain?
  3. Does perplexity correlate with the other measures of accuracy?
  4. Can you reduce the size of the model (number of parameters) without reducing performance?

Introductory video

Prediction Model