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Assignment 2

S1 - 7.5 points

Basic requirements

Q1 - 1 point

Can you open the pdf?

  • No
  • Yes

Q2 - 1 point

Is the report anonymous?

  • No
  • Yes

S2 - 85 points

Exercise 1

Q3 - 1 point

Is the source code included?

  • No
  • Yes

Q4 - 1 point

Are the prior, likelihood and posterior forms reported (derivation of posterior not necessary)?

  • No
  • Some missing
  • Yes

Q5 - 1 point

Is the reported resulting posterior correct ...?

  • It is not reported, that the posterior distribution is a ... .
  • It is reported, that the posterior distribution is ..., but numerical values for the parameters or formulas for calculating them have not been presented.
  • It is reported, that the posterior distribution is ..., and numerical values for the parameters or formulas for calculating them have been presented.

Q6 - 1 point

For the a) part, is there at least one point estimate reported. Sample based estimates are also ok. Points should be given if the method is right, even if the result is wrong because the posterior was wrong in the first place. If the posterior was right, mean median, and mode are all approximately ....

  • No
  • Yes

Q7 - 1 point

For the a) part, is the 90% posterior interval estimate reported? Sample based estimate is also ok.

  • No
  • Yes

Q8 - 1 point

For the b) part, is the posterior probability Pr(π<0.2|y) reported? Points should be given if the method is right, even if the result is wrong because the posterior was wrong. If the posterior was right, the result should be approximately ....

  • No
  • Yes

Q9 - 1 point

For the c) part, does the report discuss ...?

  • No
  • No, but other reasonable assumptions are discussed
  • Yes, but not quite right or some missing
  • Yes

Q10 - 1 point

For the d) part, Is there some comparison of results obtained with alternative prior parameters and some discussion about these?

  • No
  • Yes, but the results and conclusions are clearly wrong
  • Yes

S3 - 7.5 points

Overall quality of the report

Q11 -

Does the report follow the formatting instructions?

  • Not at all
  • Little
  • Mostly
  • Yes

Q12 -

Justify your answers for the two questions above.